Is Ethiopia on the Verge of Recognizing Moroccan Sahara?
A new era of cooperation is blossoming between Morocco and Ethiopia, marked by a notable strengthening of military ties. This burgeoning partnership signals a potential turning point in their relationship and hints at a shift in Ethiopia’s stance on the long-contested Western Sahara region.
Historically, Ethiopia has been a staunch supporter of the Polisario Front, a Sahrawi liberation movement advocating for an independent Western Sahara. However, as Morocco’s influence in Africa grows, particularly in the realms of peace and development, Ethiopia appears to be reevaluating its position.
Morocco’s emergence as a key player on the African continent, coupled with its diplomatic efforts, seems to be resonating with Ethiopia. This shift in perspective is leading some analysts, like Najib El Aoufi, to speculate that Ethiopia might be on the brink of formally recognizing Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara.
El Aoufi suggests that this potential recognition could be announced during an upcoming visit by Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali to Morocco. Such a development would be a significant win for Morocco and could trigger a domino effect, encouraging other African nations to follow suit.
During his visit, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is expected to engage in high-level discussions with Moroccan Prime Minister Aziz Akhannouch and Minister of Foreign Affairs, African Cooperation, and Moroccan Expatriates, Nasser Bourita. A joint press conference is anticipated, potentially serving as the platform for a formal announcement of recognition.
This potential shift in Ethiopia’s stance reflects a broader trend across Africa. Many countries are increasingly viewing Morocco as a stable and powerful partner, capable of fostering economic growth and regional security.
Adding further fuel to the speculation, recent high-level military exchanges between the two nations underscore the deepening relationship. The visit of Ethiopian Chief of General Staff, Birhanu Jula, to Morocco resulted in agreements to bolster military cooperation on multiple fronts.
This strengthening of military ties comes at a pivotal time for the African continent, particularly in the Horn of Africa, a region grappling with political complexities and security challenges.
While only time will tell if Ethiopia will formally recognize Moroccan Sahara, the signs point towards a deepening relationship and a potential realignment on this critical geopolitical issue.
